The quiet market signal Wall Street never ignores.
It compares short-term and long-term US Treasury interest rates.
The curve is normalizing after historic inversion signals.
Bond markets are pricing future Federal Reserve easing.
Equities often rally early before economic slowdowns appear.
Historically, yield curve shifts lead economic cycles.
Long-duration bonds attract capital during curve shifts.
Spreads, duration risk, and Fed guidance matter most.
Model returns, risk, and scenarios with precision tools.